Research Memo
FUND demo-90d · PAPER  ·  2026-08-30 12:02 UTC
NAV $128,369 today +2.33%
Since Inception +2.35% from 2026-05-05
Deployed 91.0% 22 positions
Cash 9.0% $11,526
Drawdown 0.00% breaker -15%
Research Memo · demo-90d generated 2026-08-30 12:02 UTC

Top Call STOP: INTC at -14.32% from cost — exit proposal will fire on the next cycle. 5 other positions also breached.

Overnight

No material rating or thesis shifts.

Today

  • Daily cycle fires at 12:30 PM ET (launchd).

Queue

  • BTC SLEEVE — Sleeve at 4.2% NAV — below 30% ± 5% band. Auto-rebalance proposal will fire on the next cycle.
Risk Watch 29 active alerts
Severity Ticker Alert Detail
CRITICAL MSTR MSTR stop triggered Last $127.31 ≤ stop $169.10 (-30.7% vs avg $183.80). Stop-loss generator should fire next cycle.
CRITICAL BTC-USD BTC-USD concentration 15.2% Position is 15.2% of NAV vs per-name cap 12%. Exceeds cap.
CRITICAL VST VST stop triggered Last $137.09 ≤ stop $147.98 (-14.8% vs avg $160.85). Stop-loss generator should fire next cycle.
CRITICAL INTC INTC stop triggered Last $89.47 ≤ stop $96.07 (-14.3% vs avg $104.43). Stop-loss generator should fire next cycle.
CRITICAL AVGO AVGO stop triggered Last $368.79 ≤ stop $383.18 (-11.5% vs avg $416.50). Stop-loss generator should fire next cycle.
CRITICAL GOOGL GOOGL stop triggered Last $346.59 ≤ stop $352.59 (-9.6% vs avg $383.25). Stop-loss generator should fire next cycle.
CRITICAL RDDT RDDT stop triggered Last $153.00 ≤ stop $155.54 (-9.5% vs avg $169.07). Stop-loss generator should fire next cycle.
WARN AMZN AMZN thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN AVGO AVGO thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN BTC-USD BTC-USD thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN CI CI thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN GOOGL GOOGL thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN HALO HALO thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN HWM HWM thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN IBIT IBIT thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN ICE ICE thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN INTC INTC thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN LLY LLY thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN MA MA thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN MSFT MSFT thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN MSTR MSTR thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN MU MU thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN NOW NOW thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN NVDA NVDA thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN RDDT RDDT thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN STRC STRC thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN USLM USLM thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN VST VST thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
WARN WT WT thesis stale No agent signal in 15d (threshold 14d). Position may be flying blind.
Performance Statistics since inception · 6 days
Total Return +2.35%
CAGR n/a
Vol (ann.) 19.23%
Sharpe 7.69
Sortino 36.47
Max DD -0.46%
Calmar n/a
SPY Total +2.28%
Excess Return vs SPY +0.07%
Risk-free rate assumed zero — Sharpe and Sortino are not directly comparable to figures using the contemporaneous T-bill rate. "Excess Return" is the arithmetic spread to the benchmark — not a CAPM alpha. Pre-inception NAV days are excluded.
Positioning & Attribution 22 open · unrealized P&L +$8,703

Theme Contribution

AI Infra+1.31%BTC Sleeve-0.65%Other+6.12%
Unrealized mark-to-market. Realized P&L surfaces only after positions close.

Top Contributors

MU · AI Infra +$2,725 +49.12% · 6.4% NAV
HALO · Other +$2,500 +63.16% · 5.0% NAV
NOW · Other +$2,270 +57.34% · 4.9% NAV

Top Detractors

INTC · AI Infra −$842 -14.32% · 3.9% NAV
MSTR · BTC Sleeve −$708 -30.73% · 1.2% NAV
BTC-USD · Other −$682 -3.38% · 15.2% NAV

Top Positions

Ticker Theme Qty Avg / Last Mkt Value P&L $ P&L % % NAV Rating 60D
BTC-USD Other 0.2495 80927.05 / 78193.38 $19,506 −$682 -3.38% 15.2% no spark
MU AI Infra 8.8667 625.56 / 932.86 $8,271 +$2,725 +49.12% 6.4% no spark
AMZN AI Infra 25.5500 271.14 / 266.43 $6,807 −$120 -1.74% 5.3% no spark
HALO Other 61.3030 64.57 / 105.35 $6,458 +$2,500 +63.16% 5.0% no spark
NOW Other 43.0394 91.97 / 144.71 $6,228 +$2,270 +57.34% 4.9% no spark
Allocation tilt vs cap · concentration

Theme Tilt vs Cap

Theme Names % NAV Cap Utilization
AI Infra 8 31.0% 60%
BTC Sleeve 2 4.2% 35%
Other 12 55.8% uncapped

Concentration

Top 3: 26.9% of NAV · Top 5: 36.8% · Top 10: 56.3%. HHI 0.053 — effective N of 18.9.

Ticker % NAV Cap Utilization
BTC-USD 15.19% 12%
MU 6.44% 12%
AMZN 5.30% 12%
HALO 5.03% 12%
NOW 4.85% 12%
WT 4.36% 12%
INTC 3.93% 12%
MSFT 3.83% 12%
LLY 3.74% 12%
MA 3.64% 12%
USLM 3.47% 12%
HWM 3.41% 12%
NVDA 3.38% 12%
ICE 3.20% 12%
CI 3.08% 12%
STRC 3.00% 12%
IBIT 2.98% 12%
RDDT 2.79% 12%
GOOGL 2.79% 12%
AVGO 2.73% 12%
VST 2.63% 12%
MSTR 1.24% 12%
Risk Posture drawdown · stops · concentration
Drawdown 0.00%
Headroom 15.00%
Recovery Days at peak
Closest Stop MSTR -30.73%
breaker -15%0.0%-7.5%-15.0%2026-05-052026-05-072026-05-11

Stop-loss proximity

TickerP&L %DistanceStatus
MSTR -30.73% -22.73% STOP TRIGGERED
VST -14.77% -6.77% STOP TRIGGERED
INTC -14.32% -6.32% STOP TRIGGERED
AVGO -11.45% -3.45% STOP TRIGGERED
GOOGL -9.57% -1.57% STOP TRIGGERED
RDDT -9.50% -1.50% STOP TRIGGERED
BTC-USD -3.38% +4.62% SAFE
IBIT -3.30% +4.70% SAFE
STRC -2.62% +5.38% SAFE
AMZN -1.74% +6.26% SAFE
CI -0.17% +7.83% SAFE
ICE +3.77% +11.77% SAFE
NVDA +9.61% +17.61% SAFE
HWM +10.49% +18.49% SAFE
USLM +12.67% +20.67% SAFE
MA +17.94% +25.94% SAFE
LLY +21.35% +29.35% SAFE
MSFT +24.16% +32.16% SAFE
WT +41.38% +49.38% SAFE
MU +49.12% +57.12% SAFE
NOW +57.34% +65.34% SAFE
HALO +63.16% +71.16% SAFE
Operations cycle activity · lifetime stats

Cycle #338 (2026-05-11 16:30 UTC) processed 27 universe tickers, extracted 47 signals, accepted 30 decisions, and produced 7 paper fills. 19 proposals were rejected by the risk engine. 27 tickers errored mid-cycle.

Lifetime Fills 32 paper 32 · schwab 0
Lifetime Notional $134,676
Avg Slippage 5.0 bps N=7
Worst Slippage 5.0 bps ARDX
Closed Positions 3 33% win rate
Avg Decision Horizon (at entry) NAV-weighted
Realized P&L 2026 YTD +$0 FIFO-matched · /tax
Agent Scorecard 0 decisions evaluated

No decisions have reached their horizon yet — the scorecard fills in as agent calls mature.

Watch List 8 items flagged
Memo is generated deterministically from the fund's ledger, audit log, benchmark snapshots, agent decision bundles, and scorecard evaluations. No LLM is involved in the prose; identical inputs always produce the identical memo. Risk-free rate assumed zero for Sharpe and Sortino — these figures overstate risk-adjusted return relative to calculations using the contemporaneous T-bill rate. Performance figures are not GIPS-compliant. "Excess Return vs benchmark" is the arithmetic spread between fund and benchmark total returns since inception, not a CAPM alpha. Theme contribution and contributor / detractor figures are unrealized mark-to-market — they will move with prices and may not match realized P&L when positions close. The closed-position win rate counts round-trips by ticker (FIFO matching) and is not size-weighted; a single large loss can outweigh many small wins. The agent scorecard's hit rate and mean score return are internal model artifacts measured against forward prices on the agent's stated horizon — they are not realized returns to the fund and should not be read as such. Trading signals are generated in part by LLM outputs, which may be incorrect or systematically biased; the operator assumes all responsibility for trade decisions. The fund holds concentrated positions in volatile instruments including cryptocurrency-linked securities. Universe, risk policy, and operational parameters are subject to change without notice. Nothing on this page constitutes investment advice or solicitation.